Ukraine's counteroffensive is now under way and will likely determine where the future line of contact will be when the conflict is eventually frozen, although we're probably still years away from such an outcome.
Seems to me that the US could tell Ukraine to just accept Russia’s terms . Without the military and financial aid of the US Ukraine would soon collapse, which would be far worse for ukraine than making a deal with Putin .
I think you are spot on.
How has Russia being decisively weaker than you expected strengthened your argument that Ukraine can't beat them? Start taking Ls.
Seems extremely unlikely that Ukraine will be exhausted in any meaningful sense any time soon. Western countries have been gradually ramping up the types of equipment they are willing to provide, which Russia is unable to respond to. Next year F-15s, what will it be by 2025? 2026? I am not sure why Western countries are doing this slowly rather than all at once, but the journey is obvious by now. As time goes by, Ukraine's equipment will continue to get more modern and powerful, while Russia's will continue to degrade. Seems like time favours Ukraine. This reminds me most of the Iran-Iraq war, not Korea.
I think this is very likely.
I honestly don`t understand why Ukraine chose to go on an offensive. All they really need to do is defend, fortify next line of defence and build up their forces with support from the West.
If Ukraine does prevail in Melitopol, what do you think would likely happen then?